一、本期陜西煤炭價格指數及代表規格品價格情況
表1:陜西煤炭價格指數
表2:陜西煤炭代表規格品價格
二、本期市場分析
2018年(nian)2月2日陜西煤炭綜合價(jia)格(ge)指(zhi)數為161.6點,較(jiao)上期(qi)上漲(zhang)1.9點,同比上漲(zhang)13.6點;對應陜西煤炭綜合價(jia)格(ge)423元(yuan)/噸,較(jiao)上期(qi)上漲(zhang)5元(yuan)/噸,同比上漲(zhang)36元(yuan)/噸。
其中分品種:動力煤(mei)指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)158.2點(dian)(dian)(dian),較(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)期上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲2.3點(dian)(dian)(dian);配焦(jiao)精煤(mei)指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)189.2點(dian)(dian)(dian)、噴吹煤(mei)指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)106.5點(dian)(dian)(dian),較(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)期均持平;塊煤(mei)指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)140.5點(dian)(dian)(dian),較(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)期上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲0.4點(dian)(dian)(dian)。分區(qu)域:榆林指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)154.1點(dian)(dian)(dian),較(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)期上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲0.7點(dian)(dian)(dian);延安指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)176.0點(dian)(dian)(dian),較(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)期上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲0.2點(dian)(dian)(dian); 咸陽(yang)指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)192.2點(dian)(dian)(dian),較(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)期上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲6.0點(dian)(dian)(dian);關(guan)中指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)158.2點(dian)(dian)(dian),較(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)期上(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)(shang)漲5.1點(dian)(dian)(dian)。
本(ben)期陜(shan)西煤(mei)(mei)炭(tan)綜合價(jia)格(ge)(ge)指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)連(lian)續三周(zhou)上(shang)漲(zhang),指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)較上(shang)期上(shang)漲(zhang)1.9點(dian),累計上(shang)漲(zhang)3.3點(dian)。從品(pin)種指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)來看(kan)(kan),本(ben)期動力煤(mei)(mei)指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)漲(zhang)幅最大(da),塊煤(mei)(mei)指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)小(xiao)幅上(shang)漲(zhang),配焦精煤(mei)(mei)指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)和(he)噴(pen)吹煤(mei)(mei)指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)保持(chi)不(bu)變;從區域(yu)指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)來看(kan)(kan),本(ben)期榆林(lin)指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)和(he)延(yan)安指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)小(xiao)幅上(shang)漲(zhang),咸陽指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)和(he)關中指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)漲(zhang)幅較大(da),其中咸陽指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)漲(zhang)幅最大(da);從代表規格(ge)(ge)品(pin)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)據來看(kan)(kan),本(ben)期陜(shan)西煤(mei)(mei)炭(tan)價(jia)格(ge)(ge)指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)監測15個代表規格(ge)(ge)品(pin)中,9個上(shang)漲(zhang)、6個持(chi)平、無下跌代表規格(ge)(ge)品(pin)。
據(ju)(ju)陜(shan)西省(sheng)(sheng)煤炭生(sheng)產安監局調度報表數(shu)據(ju)(ju)顯示:截止(zhi)2月(yue)1日,陜(shan)西省(sheng)(sheng)礦(kuang)井數(shu)量451處,正常生(sheng)產礦(kuang)井243處,較上周減少24處。本月(yue)產量171.51萬(wan)噸,銷量166.22萬(wan)噸,庫存(cun)173.13萬(wan)噸。
三、本期市場運行分析
本(ben)周(zhou)陜(shan)西煤(mei)(mei)炭(tan)綜合價格(ge)指數較(jiao)上(shang)(shang)期上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)1.9點。分析(xi)認為(wei):首(shou)先,本(ben)周(zhou)陜(shan)西全省(sheng)正常生產(chan)(chan)礦(kuang)井243處(chu)(chu),較(jiao)上(shang)(shang)周(zhou)減(jian)少(shao)24處(chu)(chu),煤(mei)(mei)炭(tan)日產(chan)(chan)量(liang)為(wei)171.51萬噸(dun),較(jiao)上(shang)(shang)周(zhou)減(jian)少(shao)3.3萬噸(dun),而庫(ku)(ku)存(cun)較(jiao)上(shang)(shang)周(zhou)下降(jiang)55.57萬噸(dun),產(chan)(chan)地供(gong)應受限、煤(mei)(mei)礦(kuang)庫(ku)(ku)存(cun)持續下降(jiang),引導全省(sheng)煤(mei)(mei)炭(tan)交易情況繼續向好;其次,本(ben)周(zhou)下游(you)電(dian)煤(mei)(mei)日耗上(shang)(shang)升至(zhi)85萬噸(dun)左右水平,較(jiao)去(qu)年大(da)(da)幅增加(jia),庫(ku)(ku)存(cun)可(ke)用天數降(jiang)至(zhi)10天,臨近(jin)春節,隨著產(chan)(chan)地部(bu)分煤(mei)(mei)礦(kuang)關停,煤(mei)(mei)炭(tan)供(gong)應會日趨減(jian)少(shao),下游(you)補庫(ku)(ku)壓力增大(da)(da)。綜上(shang)(shang)所(suo)述,產(chan)(chan)地供(gong)應減(jian)少(shao)、下游(you)需求增加(jia),煤(mei)(mei)炭(tan)供(gong)需格(ge)局(ju)整(zheng)體偏緊,促使(shi)本(ben)期陜(shan)西煤(mei)(mei)炭(tan)綜合價格(ge)指數繼續上(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)。
榆林地區,本周煤(mei)炭市場交易(yi)量較(jiao)(jiao)上(shang)(shang)(shang)周有所(suo)增加,其中沫煤(mei)價(jia)格上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)10-20元(yuan)/噸(dun)。監測(ce)的四個代表品規(gui)格兩個上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)兩個持平,從監測(ce)價(jia)格情況看:Q6000動力煤(mei)均(jun)價(jia)425元(yuan)/噸(dun),較(jiao)(jiao)上(shang)(shang)(shang)期上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)3元(yuan)/噸(dun);Q5500動力煤(mei)均(jun)價(jia)379元(yuan)/噸(dun),較(jiao)(jiao)上(shang)(shang)(shang)期上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲(zhang)4元(yuan)/噸(dun);噴吹煤(mei)均(jun)價(jia)256元(yuan)/噸(dun)、塊煤(mei)均(jun)價(jia)427元(yuan)/噸(dun),較(jiao)(jiao)上(shang)(shang)(shang)期持平。
延安(an)地區,本周煤炭市場保持(chi)(chi)(chi)平(ping)穩(wen),監測(ce)的四個代表品(pin)規格(ge)(ge)一個上(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)三個持(chi)(chi)(chi)平(ping)。從監測(ce)價格(ge)(ge)情況看:Q5500動(dong)力(li)煤均(jun)價561元(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun),較(jiao)(jiao)上(shang)期持(chi)(chi)(chi)平(ping);Q5000動(dong)力(li)煤均(jun)價426元(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun),較(jiao)(jiao)上(shang)期上(shang)漲(zhang)(zhang)1元(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun);配(pei)焦(jiao)精(jing)煤均(jun)價785元(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun)、塊煤均(jun)價450元(yuan)(yuan)/噸(dun),較(jiao)(jiao)上(shang)期均(jun)持(chi)(chi)(chi)平(ping)。
咸陽地區,本周煤(mei)(mei)(mei)炭市場(chang)銷售大幅增長(chang),其中水簾洞、下溝礦、蔣家河(he)礦各品(pin)種價格全面上漲(zhang)(zhang),監(jian)測(ce)的四個(ge)代表(biao)品(pin)規格三個(ge)上漲(zhang)(zhang)一個(ge)持平。從監(jian)測(ce)價格情況(kuang)看:Q5500動(dong)力煤(mei)(mei)(mei)均價531元/噸(dun)(dun),較上期上漲(zhang)(zhang)17元/噸(dun)(dun);Q5000動(dong)力煤(mei)(mei)(mei)均價452元/噸(dun)(dun),較上期上漲(zhang)(zhang)20元/噸(dun)(dun);Q4500動(dong)力煤(mei)(mei)(mei)均價217元/噸(dun)(dun),較上期持平;塊煤(mei)(mei)(mei)均價581元/噸(dun)(dun),較上期上漲(zhang)(zhang)11元/噸(dun)(dun)。
關中地區,本(ben)周煤(mei)炭市場銷售情況良好,三個代表品(pin)規格全部(bu)上漲。其(qi)中,坑(keng)口(kou)報價(jia):韓城Q5000貧(pin)(pin)瘦混(hun)煤(mei)含稅價(jia)在(zai)405-415元/噸(dun)之(zhi)間;澄城Q4500貧(pin)(pin)瘦混(hun)煤(mei)含稅價(jia)在(zai)305-315元/噸(dun)之(zhi)間,Q5500貧(pin)(pin)瘦混(hun)煤(mei)含稅價(jia)在(zai)485-495元/噸(dun)之(zhi)間;銅(tong)川Q5000長(chang)(chang)焰(yan)混(hun)煤(mei)含稅價(jia)在(zai)420-430元/噸(dun)之(zhi)間;寶雞(ji)Q5000長(chang)(chang)焰(yan)煤(mei)含稅價(jia)380元/噸(dun)左右。